Posits that if we all individually cut our spending in an attempt to increase individual savings, then our collective savings will paradoxically fall because one person’s spending is another’s income – the fountain from which savings flow.
Notes:
But, as pointed out by Steve Waldman:
- often forgotten hidden assumption in the "paradox of thrift"
- true: one person's spending is another person's income
- but: does not follow that an increase in saving translates to a decrease in aggregate income
- two kinds of spending: consumption and investment
- e.g. buying Ferrari vs. laying a subway line
- nearly all savings are actually spent on investment goods
- what is "saved" is really spent on current production of future capacity
- plenty of paychecks to go around
- no "fallacy of composition": individually and in aggregate, today's thrift lays the groundwork for tomorrow's abundant consumption
- but: for this to work out, two things must be true:
- today's savings must be invested in projects that will actually generate future wealth
- savers must believe they will retain a stake in the increased wealth commensurate with the size and wisdom of their investments
- we have a financial system in order to make these facts true